Paul Windschitl
Research Interests
Optimistic and pessimistic biases
Perceived likelihood/vulnerability/risk
Decision making under uncertainty
Health/medical decision making
Social comparison
Comparative judgment processes
Primary Research Area
Judgment and Decision Making, Cognition, Social Psychology
Training Areas
Research Group
Representative Publications
More on Google Scholar or at the Judgment, Decision, and Social Comparison Lab website
Stuart, J. O., Windschitl, P. D., Bossard, E., Bruchmann, K., Smith, A. R., Rose, J. P., & Suls, J. (in press). Which measures of perceived vulnerability predict protective intentions—and when? Journal of Behavioral Medicine.
Park, I., Windschitl, P. D., Miller, J. E., Smith, A. R., Stuart, J. O., Biangmano, M. (2023). People express more bias in their predictions than in their likelihood judgments. Journal of Experimental Psychology: General, 152, 45-59.
Windschitl, P. D., Miller, J. E., Park, I., Rule, S., Clary, A., & Smith, A. R. (2022) The desirability bias in predictions under aleatory and epistemic uncertainty. Cognition, 229, 105254.
Stuart, J. O. R., Windschitl, P. D., Miller, J. E., Smith, A. R., Zikmund‐Fisher, B. J., & Scherer, L. D. (2022). Attributions for ambiguity in a treatment‐decision context can create ambiguity aversion or seeking. Journal of Behavioral Decision Making, 35(1), e2249.
Miller, J. E., Park, I., Smith, A. R., & Windschitl, P. D. (2021). Do people prescribe optimism, overoptimism, or neither? Psychological Science, 32(10), 1605–1616.
Smith, A, R., Windschitl, P. D., Rose, J. P. (2020) An integrated approach to biases in referent-specific judgments. Thinking and Reasoning, 26, 581-614.
Miller, J. E., Windschitl, P. D., Treat, T. A., & Scherer, A. M. (2019). Unhealthy and unaware? Misjudging social comparative standing for health-relevant behavior. Journal of Experimental Social Psychology, 85, Article 103873.
Gold, J. M., Stuart, J. O., Thiem, K. C., Field, R. W., Fernandez-Baca, J., and Windschitl, P. D. (2018). The unintended impact of smoking-risk information on concerns about radon: A randomized controlled trial. Health Psychology, 37, 1123-1133.
Stuart, J. O., Windschitl, P. D., Smith, A. R., & Scherer, A. M. (2017). Behaving optimistically: How the (un)desirability of an outcome can bias people's preparations for it. Journal of Behavioral Decision Making, 30, 54-69.
Windschitl, P. D., & Stuart, J. O. (2015). Optimism Biases: Type and Causes. In Gideon Keren & George Wu (Eds.) Handbook of Judgment and Decision Making. Blackwell Publishing.
Scherer, A. M., Windschitl, P. D., & Smith A., R. (2013). Hope to be right: Biased information seeking following arbitrary and informed predictions. Journal of Experimental Social Psychology, 49, 106–112.
- Health
- Judgment and Decision Making
- Social Cognition