Optimism / Likelihood judgment
Perceived vulnerability / risk
Decision making under uncertainty
Decision making in health contexts
Comparative judgment processes
O' Rourke Stuart, J., Windschitl, P. D., Smith, A. R., & Scherer, A. M. (2017). Behaving optimistically: How the (un)desirability of an outcome can bias people's preparations for it. Journal of Behavioral Decision Making, 30, 54-69.
Windschitl, P. D., & O’Rourke, J. L. (2015). Optimism Biases: Type and Causes. In Gideon Keren & George Wu (Eds.) Handbook of Judgment and Decision Making. Blackwell Publishing.
Scherer, A. M., Windschitl, P. D., & Smith A., R. (2013). Hope to be right: Biased information seeking following arbitrary and informed predictions. Journal of Experimental Social Psychology, 49, 106–112.
Windschitl, P. D., Conybeare, D., & Krizan, Z. (2008). Direct-comparison judgments: When and why above- and below-average effects reverse. Journal of Experimental Psychology: General, 137, 182-200.
Windschitl, P. D., Smith, A. R., Rose, J. P., & Krizan, Z. (2010). The desirability bias in predictions: Going optimistic without leaving realism. Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Making, 111, 33-47.
Windschitl, P. D., Rose, J. P., Stalkfleet, M., & Smith, A. R. (2008). Are people excessive or judicious in their egocentrism? A modeling approach to understanding bias and accuracy in people's optimism. Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 95, 252-273.